How it works
Not a guess.
A forecast.
Every projected score is built from live FPL data across 10+ factors — updated each gameweek, specific to each player and fixture.
What goes into every projection
⏱
Playing time
Expected minutes from last 3 GW trend, season average, injury status, and FPL's own chance-of-playing %.
📍
Fixture difficulty
Opponent's defensive strength sets an attacking multiplier. Home vs away is baked in. Haaland vs Arsenal ≠ Haaland vs Leeds.
⚽
Goal threat (xG)
Player's adjusted expected goals per 90 from current-season data, scaled for fixture quality and expected minutes.
🎯
Creativity (xA)
Expected assists per 90, applied the same way as xG. Midfielders who create chances get credit even without goals.
🔒
Clean sheet odds
Team defensive record vs opponent's attacking output, modelled with Poisson distribution. For GKP and DEF only.
🧤
Goalkeeper saves
Saves per 90 from this season. Keepers facing more shots earn more expected save points — not all GKPs are equal.
🏅
Bonus points
Historical bonus rate per start, weighted by sample size. New players fall back to a positional average until data builds.
📋
FPL scoring rules
Exact FPL point values — appearances, goals, assists, clean sheets, goal conceded deductions — all applied precisely.
The data behind it
🔄
Live FPL API, every gameweek
Every scan pulls fresh data from the official FPL bootstrap — player stats, fixture lists, injury flags, and form data updated in real time. No estimates, no stale spreadsheets.
📸
Your actual squad, not a demo
Upload your squad screenshot and the forecast is built specifically for your 15 players — your fixtures, your minutes risk, your captain. It's not a generic template.
What the confidence level means
HIGH
Regular starter, full season data. Playing every week, 60+ minutes each time, no injury concerns. Projection is as reliable as it gets.
MEDIUM
Some uncertainty. Rotation risk, early in the season, or a slight injury doubt. Numbers are directionally right but hold them loosely.
LOW
High uncertainty. Injured, doubtful, very few appearances this season, or confirmed squad rotation. Projection is an estimate at best.
Coming soon
🃏
Chip strategy
When to play Triple Captain, Bench Boost, or Free Hit — timed to your squad and the fixture run.
📅
Double GW planning
See which of your players benefit most from double gameweeks and how to maximise the upside.
🔁
Transfer advice
Identify which players in your squad to replace and who to bring in, ranked by projected gain.
🏆
Season planner
Multi-week fixture runs scored for every team — so you can plan transfers and chips further ahead.
A note on uncertainty
Forecasts can't account for in-game injuries, last-minute lineup surprises, or the basic unpredictability of football. Always check team news close to the deadline and use projections as a guide, not a guarantee.
Check your squad →